From comedy to drama

Last Sunday 13, Anheuser-Busch accepted InBev’s ‘marriage’ proposal, thus forming the world’s largest beer company.

 

Background of the transaction

 

For years, large beer companies have been involved in an aggressive process of concentration. In 2002, the giant SABMiller was born, with the purchase of Miller from the Philip Morris group by South African Breweries (SAB) for 5 billion dollars. Two years later, the acquisition of the Brazilian giant AmBev by the Belgian company Interbrew, for 9.4 billion euros, created the global colossal InBev. In July 2005, SABMiller bought Colombia’s Bavaria for 7.8 billion dollars. October 2007 saw the merging of Miller and Coors –the second and third largest brewers in the US, respectively–, who joined to compete with that country’s leading company, Anheuser-Busch (A-B). A month later, SABMiller announced that it was purchasing Germany’s Grolsch for 816 million euros. Last January 25, the Danish company Carlsberg and the Dutch brewer Heineken signed an agreement to acquire Scottish & Newcastle, in a transaction valued at 10.35 billion euros.

 

But 2008 was to bring new developments. This year all past records have been broken by the Belgian-Brazilian InBev, with its bid for the hostile takeover of its US rival, A-B –the manufacturer of the well-known brand Budweiser–, with sales of nearly 19.32 billion dollars. InBev’s initial offer was 65 dollars a share, for a total of 46 billion dollars.

 

Just to have an idea of the scale of this transaction, suffice it to say that in the last five years the 20 largest beer companies in the world have been involved in 280 transactions, with a combined value of more than 80 billion dollars. The mergers and acquisitions can be explained by the fact that breweries –like all other companies in the food industry– are having to cope with the rise in prices of raw materials. Because of this, greater efficiency in production through concentration becomes a necessity, given the impossibility of transferring the increase in costs entirely to consumers. On the other hand, companies enthusiastically discover that global warming is setting a new tendency towards warmer winters, and, therefore, leading consumers to drink more beer year round.

 

The parties

 

InBev, which as is commonly known was born of a merger between the Belgian company Interbrew and the Brazilian AmBev, is the second largest beer producer in the world in terms of volume, behind the UK company SABMiller, and last year its production totaled 225.6 million hectoliters, securing a 12.8 percent share of the global market, and employing some 77,000 workers distributed throughout 32 countries. In December 2005, the Brazilian Carlos Brito took office as chief executive officer, and as of that date, more and more Brazilians have been placed in high executive positions at InBev, in a move that some analysts qualify as “reverse acquisition.” Belgian executives and politicians admit that they no longer control the company. InBev “used to be totally Belgian, then it became Belgian-Brazilian, and now it’s Brazilian-Belgian,” that country’s Minister of Economy, Vicent Van Quickenborne, remarked.

August Busch IV

 

Anheuser-Busch Companies, Inc. is the largest beer producer in the United States and the third largest producer worldwide, with central offices located in Saint Louis, Missouri. Its origins date back to the year 1852, with the founding of a small brewery. In 1876 it launched a pale-colored beer in the market, under the brand name Budweiser, which would in time become the most widely sold beer in the United States, securing 48.5 percent of that market. It has 12 plants in the country, which employ 8,600 people, producing 150.7 million hectoliters of beer a year. Budweiser id the official beer sponsor of the upcoming Beijing Olympics. In addition, A-B holds a 27 percent interest in Tsingtao, China’s leading premium beer company.

 

To this we must add that A-B is the majority shareholder (with 50.2 percent) of the Mexican Grupo Modelo, the leading beer producer and exporter of Mexico, which, in addition to other brands, markets the popular Corona Extra, selling almost 120 million cases of this brand in the United States each year. The negotiations between InBev and Modelo are running down a different track, and if they are unable to solve their differences, they will have to put matters in the hands of a New York court, in a suit that could go on for years. Everything seems to indicate that Modelo will finally accept the purchase of its partner A-B by InBev, which will enable it to enter the Brazilian market, the world’s third largest consumer of beer.

 

A difficult match

Carlos Brito

 

Everything began in early June when InBev presented A-B with a proposal for a hostile takeover, for a price of 46.4 billion dollars, or 65 dollars a share. The offer was rejected, because A-B considered it “financially inadequate and contrary to the best interests of the shareholders” and its CEO, August Busch IV, sent a letter to Carlos Brito where he set out the reasons for turning down the offer. A-B also brought an action against InBev, claiming that the offer was illegal and that it proposed a “markdown price,” and accused InBev of using “deceptive practices.” InBev, for its part, set in motion a plan to replace the Board of Directors of A-B, to secure a majority of members that would be in favor of the sale.

 

Workers, politicians, and Cuba thrown in for good measure

 

In this nuptial dance that lasted over a month, the parties did not shy away from using any stratagem they could think of. A-B went as far as to resort to the anti-Castro policy that has characterized US administrations for decades, accusing InBev of having commercial links with the government of Cuba, an argument that received the support of the State Department. InBev employs nearly 600 people in Cuba and has a 44 percent market share, from the days of the Canadian Labatt, before it was taken over by Interbrew. When Interbrew merged with AmBev to form InBev, Labatt was absorbed by Ambev, and it came under São Paulo management, so that A-B’s claim is apparently groundless.

 

Besides being the brand of beer chosen by one out of two Americans, Budweiser’s condition as the sponsor of the Super Bowl (the American football championship) and the presence of the eagle and the colors red, white and blue on the label have turned this beer into an iconic symbol of American culture. Consequently, it’s no wonder that the political establishment would feel compelled to voice its opinion on the possible sale of A-B.

 

Republican presidential candidate John McCain is connected to A-B through his wife, Cindy Hensley, who owns the company Hensley & Co., Budweiser’s exclusive distributor. Nonetheless, McCain refrained from expressing an opinion, since if he approved the purchase he risked being accused of lack of nationalism, and if he spoke against it, he could be attacked for opposing free trade. For his part, Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama, declared in a press release: “It was disappointing to hear that A-B agreed to be sold to InBev. A-B is an American icon and this sale could threaten thousands of jobs in Missouri.”

 

During the negotiations, Carlos Brito met with Republican senator for the state of Missouri, Christopher Bond. Bond ended the meeting declaring, “My Missouri constituents say, this Bud’s not for you.” Brito also met with Claire McCaskill, Democratic Senator for Missouri. After the meeting the senator said, “it would be great if the bid were turned down, so we could show them this country is not for sale.” “On behalf of me and all my friends that like nothing better than a Bud Light every summer, it makes us very upset,” she added. The governor of Missouri, Republican Matt Blunt, for his part declared: “I am strongly opposed to the sale of A-B and find the offer to buy the company deeply troubling.” The main argument wielded by these politicians was their concern over the possible loss of jobs if the sale came through. Several websites that were launched to oppose the deal claimed, “it’s about our jobs and our nation.”

 

This bit of patriotism was not enough to conceal the perversity of the logic behind capitalism. Busch IV, CEO of A-B, presented an action plan that, among other measures, includes cutting 1,290 jobs, that is, 15 percent of all current jobs. The silence with which politicians have met this measure seems to indicate that job cuts are of no concern as long as they’re decided by Americans.

 

A six-billion-dollar cannon shot

 

If in the first decade of the 20th century, 50 thousand Mexican pesos was enough money to allow Álvaro Obregón to assert that no Mexican general could resist 50 thousand pesos worth of cannon fire, today, 6 billion dollars is also a lot of money. So when InBev put that figure on the table, raising its bid to 52 billion dollars (70 dollars a share), A-B’s shareholders were not able to resist the cannon shot, and they closed their eyes, opened their pockets and said yes.

 

The new group will be called Anheuser-Busch InBev and it will become the world’s dominant brewer and one of the five largest companies in the food industry. It will have a 25 percent share of the beer market, producing 460 million hectoliters a year, and its sales –40 percent of which are in the United States– will total 36 billion dollars.

 

Carlos Brito will be the chief executive officer of the new company, and A-B will hold two seats on the Board. Under the agreement it was established that the North American headquarters would remain in the city of Saint Louis and that none of the breweries in the United States would be shut down, but what is not guaranteed is whether the current number of jobs will be preserved.

 

Perspectives for the future

 

With the aim of winning A-B shareholders over, during the negotiations InBev promised to bring down annual operating costs by 1.5 billion dollars. This means that it will impose the style of its Brazilian executives, led by Carlos Brito. This style is characterized by setting very demanding production and sales targets, and by brutally cutting costs. An example of this is the closure of the Labatt plants in Toronto and Vancouver in 2005, and the layoffs in Europe during 2006, when InBev implemented its zero budget, a system whereby company divisions have to start with a budget of zero dollars and justify every expense, instead of being able to modify their budgets. Also in Europe, InBev is already applying a policy of outsourcing jobs and creating flexible half-time contracting schemes.

 

In Argentina, Budweiser is the fourth leading brand in sales, with a 5 percent market share. Both in Argentina and in Chile, the brand is licensed to the Chilean group CCU, whose local subsidiary has A-B as a minority shareholder (with a 4 percent stake). The licensing agreement was signed late last year, and extends to 2025. For its part, InBev is by far the number one brewery in the market, with a 74 percent market share, through its brands Quilmes, Brahma and Stella Artois. Therefore, everything seems to indicate that the brands will continue to operate separately.

 

We’ve yet to see how SABMiller will react, and we can’t rule out agreements with the Mexican company FEMSA, or with Molson Coors, with whom it has already merged operations in the United States. We will soon see the consequences and reactions triggered by this mega acquisition.

 

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